Astana vs Yelimay Semey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
510
Corner Kicks
69
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
48
Corner Kicks
69
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
812
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
96
Goalkeeper Saves
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', Maicom D. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Gripshi N. , Basic I. (A),
  • 24', Amanovic A. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Amanovic A. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Rolon K. ,
  • 34', Adambaev A. , Payruz Z. ,
  • 34', Camara O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', 2 - 2, Kenzhebek G. , Sviridov I. (A),
  • 61', 3 - 2, Gripshi N. , Camara O. (A),
  • 64', 3 - 3, Sviridov I. ,
  • 66', Orazov R. , Berezkin E. ,
  • 66', Maicom D. , Tyulyubay A. ,
  • 71', Tomasov M. , Bystrov M. ,
  • 71', Camara O. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 81', Karimov R. , Geoffrey C. ,
  • 86', Gripshi N. , Camaj D. ,
  • 87', Vorogovskiy Y. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Vorogovskiy Y. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Astana
64.7%
Draw
20.7%
Yelimay Semey
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 27.5% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 28.5% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.
  • Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Astana - Yelimay Semey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.61)
    4.5
    (3.42)
    6.39
    (6.72)
    7.4%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Astana - Yelimay Semey?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Astana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
    • Astana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Yelimay is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Astana is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Yelimay Semey were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:2
    20.10.2024 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:3
    25.09.2024 Astana - Yelimay Semey 1:0
    11.08.2024 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:0
    31.03.2024 Astana - Yelimay Semey 0:1
    Latest results of Astana
    28.08.2025 Astana - Kaisar 5:1
    23.08.2025 Zhenis - Astana 3:2
    17.08.2025 Astana - Ulytau 4:0
    14.08.2025 Astana - Lausanne-Sport 0:2
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    Latest results of Yelimay Semey
    23.08.2025 Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar 2:0
    16.08.2025 Kairat - Yelimay Semey 2:3
    10.08.2025 Yelimay Semey - Aktobe 2:1
    02.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    26.07.2025 Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu 3:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana32106:157
    2Ordabasy32106:247
    3Okzhetpes32106:337
    4Kairat Almaty32102:027
    5Yelimay Semey31206:335
    6Kyzylzhar31114:404
    7Ulytau31112:204
    8Ertis Pavlodar30305:503
    9Atyrau30301:103
    10Aktobe31025:6-13
    11Altai30211:2-12
    12Zhenis30211:3-22
    13Kaisar Kyzylorda30211:3-22
    14Zhetysu Taldykorgan30213:6-32
    15Kaspij Aktau30122:5-31
    16Tobol30123:8-51

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League