Result
2:1
30/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kazakhstan Cup - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Gorda D. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Mitrovic D. ↓, Dosmagambetov T. ↑,
- 25', Korzun N. 🟨,
- 27', Seydakhmet E. 🟨,
- 31', Ilic H. 🟨,
- 43', Korzun N. ↓, Zhukov G. ↑,
- 45+3', Zhukov G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Seydakhmet E. ↓, Kenesov A. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Nani ⚽, Laturnus V. (A),
- 63', Belancic M. 🟨,
- 66', Ilic H. ↓, Orazov R. ↑,
- 66', Adambaev A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
- 66', Sviridov I. ↓, Ashirbek A. ↑,
- 66', Murtazaev R. ↓, Placca F. ↑,
- 67', Laturnus V. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
- 68', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Pibe ↑,
- 70', Tanzharikov A. 🟨,
- 70', Payruz Z. 🟨,
- 73', Orazov R. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 0, Nani ⚽, Tanzharikov A. (A),
- 86', Belancic M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Orazov R. ⚽,
- 90+6', Erlanov T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aktobe 36.3% | Draw 29.8% | Yelimay Semey 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aktobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Aktobe - Yelimay Semey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↑ (2.29) |
3.03 ↓ (3.33) |
2.66 ↓ (2.74) |
10.9% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Yelimay Semey?
Aktobe has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yelimay Semey won against Aktobe?
Yelimay Semey has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Yelimay Semey were as follows:
21.03.2026
Aktobe
-
Yelimay Semey
1:4
10.08.2025
Yelimay Semey
-
Aktobe
2:1
11.05.2025
Aktobe
-
Yelimay Semey
1:0
31.08.2024
Aktobe
-
Yelimay Semey
1:3
19.06.2024
Yelimay Semey
-
Aktobe
2:1
Latest results of Yelimay Semey
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Akademiya Ontustik | Ordabasy | 2 : 4 |
| 2 | FC Batyr | Kaspij Aktau | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Jas Qyran | Atyrau | 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Karshiga | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Arys | Aktobe | 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Turan | Yelimay Semey | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Jelaev Nan | Altai | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Taraz | Ulytau | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Talas | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Jaiyq | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | BKS | FC Astana | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Ansat | Tobol | 0 : 8 |
| 13 | Shakhter Karagandy | Okzhetpes | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Chromtau | Zhenis | 1 : 4 |
| 15 | SD Family | Ertis Pavlodar | |
| 16 | Khan Tengri | Kyzylzhar | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Kaspij Aktau | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Atyrau | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Aktobe | Yelimay Semey | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Altai | Ulytau | 4 : 3 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Kairat Almaty | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Astana | Tobol | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Okzhetpes | Zhenis | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar | Kyzylzhar | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | |
| 2 | Aktobe | Altai | |
| 3 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Tobol | |
| 4 | Zhenis | Kyzylzhar | |
Semi-finalsFinal