Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Kazakhstan Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Gorda D. (Kaz)

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
55
Red cards
01
Total shots
88
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
12
Blocked shots
44
Corner kicks
35
Offsides
16
Free kicks
1312
Fouls
1212

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Mitrovic D. , Dosmagambetov T. ,
  • 25', Korzun N. 🟨,
  • 27', Seydakhmet E. 🟨,
  • 31', Ilic H. 🟨,
  • 43', Korzun N. , Zhukov G. ,
  • 45+3', Zhukov G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Seydakhmet E. , Kenesov A. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Nani , Laturnus V. (A),
  • 63', Belancic M. 🟨,
  • 66', Ilic H. , Orazov R. ,
  • 66', Adambaev A. , Miladinovic I. ,
  • 66', Sviridov I. , Ashirbek A. ,
  • 66', Murtazaev R. , Placca F. ,
  • 67', Laturnus V. , Kikbaev M. ,
  • 68', Zeljkovic A. , Pibe ,
  • 70', Tanzharikov A. 🟨,
  • 70', Payruz Z. 🟨,
  • 73', Orazov R. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Nani , Tanzharikov A. (A),
  • 86', Belancic M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Orazov R. ,
  • 90+6', Erlanov T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Aktobe
36.3%
Draw
29.8%
Yelimay Semey
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.3% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aktobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Aktobe - Yelimay Semey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.29)
    3.03
    (3.33)
    2.66
    (2.74)
    10.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Yelimay Semey were as follows:
    21.03.2026 Aktobe - Yelimay Semey 1:4
    10.08.2025 Yelimay Semey - Aktobe 2:1
    11.05.2025 Aktobe - Yelimay Semey 1:0
    31.08.2024 Aktobe - Yelimay Semey 1:3
    19.06.2024 Yelimay Semey - Aktobe 2:1
    Latest results of Aktobe
    25.04.2026 Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar 1:0
    19.04.2026 Zhenis - Aktobe 1:0
    12.04.2026 Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau 1:0
    09.04.2026 Arys - Aktobe 0:4
    05.04.2026 Ulytau - Aktobe 1:1
    Latest results of Yelimay Semey
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Akademiya OntustikOrdabasy2 : 4
    2FC BatyrKaspij Aktau0 : 4
    3Jas QyranAtyrau0 : 4
    4KarshigaZhetysu Taldykorgan0 : 1
    5ArysAktobe0 : 4
    6TuranYelimay Semey1 : 4
    7Jelaev NanAltai0 : 2
    8TarazUlytau0 : 1
    9TalasKaisar Kyzylorda0 : 2
    10JaiyqKairat Almaty1 : 3
    11BKSFC Astana1 : 2
    12AnsatTobol0 : 8
    13Shakhter KaragandyOkzhetpes2 : 3
    14ChromtauZhenis1 : 4
    15SD FamilyErtis Pavlodar
    16Khan TengriKyzylzhar0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1OrdabasyKaspij Aktau3 : 0
    2AtyrauZhetysu Taldykorgan0 : 2
    3AktobeYelimay Semey2 : 1
    4AltaiUlytau4 : 3
    5Kaisar KyzylordaKairat Almaty2 : 1
    6FC AstanaTobol1 : 2
    7OkzhetpesZhenis2 : 3
    8Ertis PavlodarKyzylzhar1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1OrdabasyZhetysu Taldykorgan
    2AktobeAltai
    3Kaisar KyzylordaTobol
    4ZhenisKyzylzhar

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2