Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro
Football MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County
Result
4:6
01/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.954.80
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Long passes
45% (25/55)61% (51/84)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)66% (73/110)
Crosses
39% (7/18)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.301.47
Throw-ins
714
Fouls
1313
Tackles
61% (11/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3439
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
4.802.95
Goals prevented
-1.20-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kocevski J. ⚽, Sullivan N. (A), Vivi Quesada G. (A2)
  • 6', 1 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽, Burney L. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. ⚽, Kocevski J. (A),
  • 23', Arnold G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 3, Miller H. ⚽, Vanney D. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 4, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Khoury J. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
  • 46', Burney L. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 5, Kocevski J. ⚽,
  • 59', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
  • 60', Burney L. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 5, Gomez S. ⚽, Yamada K. (A),
  • 68', Miller H. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
  • 68', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
  • 75', Gaffney C. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
  • 76', Arnold G. ↓, Tsakiris M. ↑,
  • 76', Sousa T. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
  • 81', Kocevski J. ↓, Middleby M. ↑,
  • 81', Sullivan N. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
  • 85', Alvarez D. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 5, Gomez S. ⚽,
  • 87', Hassan O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 6, Musto T. ⚽,
  • 90', 4 - 6, Yamada K. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Saribekyan L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
35.3%		Draw
22.9%		Ventura County
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 23% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 21.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
    •

    Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.59 ↑
    (2.3)    		 3.98 ↑
    (3.96)    		 2.19 ↓
    (2.44)    		 9.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    07.03.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    20.10.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:0
    18.08.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 3:2
    31.05.2024 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2
    20.07.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance 6:4 ✺
    17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3
    03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4 ✺
    29.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    Latest results of Ventura County
    20.07.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 3:4
    16.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County 2:1
    03.07.2025 Ventura County - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:2
    29.06.2025 The Town - Ventura County 2:1
    15.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Ventura County 0:2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II251242762:4546
    5Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    6New York City II259241049:5335
    7Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    8Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga241143639:3544
    2Huntsville251142848:3143
    3Carolina Core25844939:3836
    4Orlando City B259321134:4735
    5Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    6Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    7Inter Miami II256051436:6223


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC241242652:3246
    2Real Monarchs251044744:3842
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    4Ventura County251024946:4438
    5Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    6Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    7Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2251641456:3357
    2Colorado Rapids 2251314748:3745
    3Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    4Austin FC II25935831:3138
    5North Texas259421038:4937
    6Houston Dynamo 2258421135:3934
    7Sporting Kansas City II253231726:6016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II ✔ 251242762:4546
    5Chattanooga241143639:3544
    6Huntsville251142848:3143
    7Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    8Carolina Core25844939:3836
    9New York City II259241049:5335
    10Orlando City B259321134:4735
    11Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    12Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    13Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    14Inter Miami II256051436:6223
    15Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 251641456:3357
    2Town FC ✔ 241242652:3246
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 251314748:3745
    4Real Monarchs251044744:3842
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    6Ventura County251024946:4438
    7Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    8Austin FC II25935831:3138
    9North Texas259421038:4937
    10Houston Dynamo 2258421135:3934
    11Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    12Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    13Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127
    14Sporting Kansas City II253231726:6016

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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