Amorebieta vs Gernika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Amorebieta
48.7%
Draw
29.5%
Gernika
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 27.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 26.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Amorebieta - Gernika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.79)
    3.07
    (3.3)
    4.16
    (4.46)
    10.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 1.
    • Amorebieta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gernika has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Amorebieta could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Amorebieta will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Amorebieta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amorebieta - Gernika were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Gernika - Amorebieta 1:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    05.04.2026 Alavés B - Amorebieta 1:2
    29.03.2026 Amorebieta - Eibar B 2:0
    22.03.2026 Tudelano - Amorebieta 0:0
    14.03.2026 Amorebieta - SD Logroñés 1:0
    08.03.2026 Alfaro - Amorebieta 0:0
    Latest results of Gernika
    04.04.2026 Gernika - Utebo 0:1
    28.03.2026 Ebro - Gernika 1:1
    21.03.2026 Gernika - Náxara 2:3
    14.03.2026 Beasain - Gernika 4:0
    08.03.2026 Gernika - UD Logroñés 1:3
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union ✔ 30198356:263065
    2Alaves B301410634:181652
    3Utebo FC30156952:391351
    4UD Logrones30156964:323251
    5Tudelano30148850:361450
    6Sestao301112736:28845
    7Amorebieta30129931:26545
    8Eibar B301351235:36-144
    9Ebro30916539:31843
    10Basconia30912944:40439
    11Gernika301161331:38-739
    12Naxara30981333:43-1035
    13Beasain307111234:41-732
    14Ejea307101330:44-1431
    15SD Logrones306131120:37-1731
    16Mutilvera30861630:54-2430
    17Zaragoza B30671726:52-2625
    18Alfaro30571829:53-2422

          Promotion
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          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for