Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Digi Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
43
1st serve percentage
53%57%
1st serve points won
61% (22/36)73% (24/33)
2nd serve points won
63% (20/32)24% (6/25)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)60% (6/10)
1st return points won
27% (9/33)47% (17/36)
2nd return points won
76% (19/25)38% (12/32)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)14% (1/7)
Winners
2515
Unforced errors
2629
Net points won
91% (10/11)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
62% (42/68)52% (30/58)
Return Points Won
48% (28/58)38% (26/68)
Total Points Won
56% (70/126)44% (56/126)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Francisco Cerundolo
49.2%
Luciano Darderi
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.99)

    1.87
    (1.81)
    5.2%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Darderi will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 41%80.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Darderi (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19. Darderi is ranked ATP: 22.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi 1:2
    20.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi 2:1
    11.02.2025 Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2
    03.04.2024 Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Dzumhur D.Dellien H. (Q)0 : 2
    3Barrena A. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    4Coria F. (WC)Berrettini M. (8)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Bye
    6Diaz Acosta F. (WC)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Djere L.2 : 0
    8Pellegrino A. (Q)Etcheverry T. M. (7)0 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Comesana F.2 : 0
    10Navone M.Nava E.2 : 0
    11Buse I.Passaro F. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeBaez S. (4)
    13Altmaier D. (5)Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    14Midon L. (Q)Martinez P.0 : 2
    15Barrios Vera T.Seyboth Wild T. (RET.) (LL)0 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dellien H.2 : 0
    2Kopriva V.Berrettini M. (8)2 : 0
    3Fonseca J. (3)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    4Burruchaga R. A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Navone M.2 : 0
    6Buse I.Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    8Barrios Vera T.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    2Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    4Martinez P.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (2)2 : 0