Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/04/2026 at 09:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Aces
81
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
54%48%
1st serve points won
77% (20/26)68% (17/25)
2nd serve points won
86% (19/22)48% (13/27)
Break Points Saved
0/04/7
1st return points won
32% (8/25)23% (6/26)
2nd return points won
52% (14/27)14% (3/22)
Break Points Converted
3/70/0
Winners
313
Unforced errors
1815
Net points won
80% (4/5)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
81% (39/48)58% (30/52)
Return Points Won
42% (22/52)19% (9/48)
Total Points Won
61% (61/100)39% (39/100)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Francisco Cerundolo
64.8%
Luciano Darderi
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.49)

    2.71
    (2.59)
    4.4%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 67.1%98.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -3 Games - Cerundolo (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 20. Darderi is ranked ATP: 22.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cerundolo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
    15.02.2026 Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi 2:0
    19.07.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi 1:2
    20.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi 2:1
    11.02.2025 Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2
    03.04.2024 Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo 2:1
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22)1 : 1
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.1 : 2
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)2 : 0
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)2 : 0
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)0 : 2
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Norrie C. (19)
    2Kopriva V.Jodar R.
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)
    5Tsitsipas S.Ruud C. (12)
    6Cerundolo F. (16)Blockx A.
    7Medvedev D. (7)Cobolli F. (10)
    8Mensik J. (23)Zverev A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2