Millonarios vs Bolívar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/05/2024 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.85
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
228
Shots on Goal
115
Shots off Goal
113
Free Kicks
1516
Corner Kicks
36
Offsides
20
Throw-ins
2719
Goalkeeper Saves
410
Fouls
1213
Yellow Cards
44
Attacks
9090
Dangerous Attacks
3334

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Sagredo J. , Ordonez A. ,
  • 34', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
  • 40', Castro L. , Giordana S. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Llinas A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vega S. , Giraldo D. ,
  • 61', Giraldo D. 🟨,
  • 65', Navarro S. , Rosales R. ,
  • 66', Rosales R. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Vaca R. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez P. , Algaranaz C. ,
  • 76', Vaca H. , Chavez Cruz L. L. ,
  • 81', Giraldo D. , Quinones Y. ,
  • 81', Bruno Savio 🟨,
  • 81', Rodriguez E. , Campaz Sandoval B. S. ,
  • 84', Giordana S. 🟨,
  • 89', Bruno Savio , Quinteros J. ,
  • 90', Justiniano L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Vaca R. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Llinas A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millonarios
57.1%
Draw
23.7%
Bolívar
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 24.9% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 23.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Millonarios - Bolívar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.69)
    3.97
    (3.76)
    4.89
    (4.82)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Millonarios - Bolívar?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bolívar will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Millonarios is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Bolívar were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Bolívar - Millonarios 3:2
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Latest results of Bolívar
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    2Flamengo RJ11002:023
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Coquimbo21103:124
    3Deportes Tolima20111:3-21
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense10100:001
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors22005:146
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Cerro Porteno21011:103
    3Palmeiras10101:101
    4Junior20111:2-11


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito22003:036
    2Mirassol21011:2-13
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)