Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (209/282) | 77% (235/304) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (209/282) | 77% (235/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 69% (43/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (48/75) | 64% (76/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', Banguero A. 🟨,
- 21', Salazar S. 🟨,
- 24', Ruiz D. 🟨,
- 24', Vega S. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Banguero A. ⚽,
- 34', Molina J. 🟨,
- 34', Castro L. 🟨,
- 45+6', 2 - 0, Molina J. ⚽, Cabrera Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 1, Llinas A. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
- 59', Silva D. 🟨,
- 59', Silva D. 🟨,
- 65', Sarabia C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 65', Garcia M. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 68', Cabrera Y. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
- 69', Valencia S. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 74', Vega S. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 81', Arroyo F. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,
- 81', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
- 90', Banguero A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mosquera S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Molina J. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
- 90+4', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Salazar S. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 90+6', Palma J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/35ysf49d
Chances of winning
Boyacá Chicó
18.7% | Draw
27.4% | Millonarios
53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.02 ↑
(4.31) |
3.4 ↑
(3.2) |
1.74 ↓
(1.88) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Boyacá Chicó (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millonarios will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 25%). Millonarios (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 0.
- Recent form of Boyacá Chicó has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Millonarios is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:41. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Millonarios?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Boyacá Chicó?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios were as follows:
12.11.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Millonarios
1:2
25.05.2025
Millonarios
-
Boyacá Chicó
4:2
14.11.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Millonarios
1:5
28.04.2024
Millonarios
-
Boyacá Chicó
3:0
25.10.2023
Millonarios
-
Boyacá Chicó
1:1
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
