Result
2:0
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (148/251) | 75% (345/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (148/251) | 75% (345/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/68) | 32% (25/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (47/98) | 57% (81/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Nakayama Y. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, Soma Y. ⚽, Okamura D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yuruki K. ↓, Iino N. ↑,
- 58', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 65', Okamura D. 🟨,
- 68', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 68', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 71', Hirose R. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 83', Nagato K. ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
- 87', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 87', Hayashi K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 90+1', Numata T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
41.8% | Draw
30.2% | Vissel Kobe
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machida Zelvia's performance.Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machida Zelvia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.76) |
3.29 ↑
(3.13) |
3.58 ↑
(2.67) |
0.8%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 16.4% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 20%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Machida Zelvia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vissel Kobe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vissel Kobe has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K.
(Shoulder Injury)
Muto Y.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Jean Patric
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Vissel Kobe?
Machida Zelvia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Machida Zelvia?
Vissel Kobe has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
20.04.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Machida Zelvia
1:0
26.06.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
13.04.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Vissel Kobe
1:2
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
