Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.67	1.00
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
6	12
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
1	7
Passes
86% (459/535)	80% (270/338)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.67	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	0.79
Total shots
6	12
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
4	7
Shots outside the box
2	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
10	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
8	6
Passes
86% (459/535)	80% (270/338)
Long passes
39% (23/59)	33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
65% (57/88)	65% (72/110)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	0.67
Throw ins
22	22
Fouls
6	8
Tackles
20% (3/15)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
40	40
Clearances
20	18
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
3	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.79	0.30
Goals prevented
0.79	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Okamura D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Bangnagande K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
63', Tokiwa K. ↓, Ko T. ↑,
63', Endo K. ↓, Otani D. C. ↑,
70', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
82', Lavi N. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
82', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
84', Soma Y. ↓, Tokumura F. ↑,
89', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
90+1', Shoji G. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Scholz A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Nakayama Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamada F. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Na Sang-Ho (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ko T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Shimoda H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hashimoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dresevic I. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
39.7%

Draw
28.7%

Machida Zelvia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Tokyo - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)	3 ↓ (3.12)	6.5% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Machida Zelvia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tokyo has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Morishige M. (Muscle Injury) Nagatomo Y. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Erik (Red Card) Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury) Nishimura T. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Machida Zelvia?

Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Tokyo?

Machida Zelvia has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

01.04.2026 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:3

15.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 2:0

09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:1

22.02.2025 Tokyo - Machida Zelvia 0:1

09.11.2024 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 3:0

Latest results of Tokyo

01.04.2026 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

22.03.2026 Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

18.03.2026 JEF United Chiba - Tokyo 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Mito HollyHock - Tokyo 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

01.04.2026 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

28.03.2026 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 0:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	FC Tokyo	14	8	3	2	1	29:13	32
2	Kashima Antlers	13	10	0	2	1	21:9	32
3	Machida	12	5	4	1	2	20:18	24
4	Verdy	12	5	3	0	4	19:16	21
5	Kawasaki Frontale	14	5	2	1	6	20:25	20
6	Urawa Reds	14	5	0	3	6	20:19	18
7	Mito	14	2	4	4	4	21:28	18
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	14	5	0	1	8	21:26	16
9	Kashiwa Reysol	13	3	1	0	9	16:20	11
10	Chiba	14	2	0	3	9	13:26	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	13	7	1	3	2	23:18	26
2	Gamba Osaka	15	4	5	3	3	28:21	25
3	Nagoya Grampus	13	5	2	3	3	23:19	22
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	5	2	1	6	21:19	20
5	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	4	4	18:19	20
6	Okayama	14	4	2	4	4	18:24	20
7	Kyoto	13	4	3	1	5	20:18	19
8	Cerezo Osaka	13	4	3	1	5	15:13	19
9	Avispa Fukuoka	14	3	3	2	6	17:25	17
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	5	0	1	7	13:20	16

      Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)