Queensland Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian NPL Queensland Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior
13/07/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPL Queensland - Round 17
Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Queensland Lions
46.7%
Draw
23.9%
Moreton City Excelsior
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 25.1% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 24% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Queensland Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.1)
    3.83
    (3.62)
    3.12
    (2.88)
    9.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Moreton City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lions is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions 3:1
    07.09.2024 Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions 0:1
    13.07.2024 Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior 1:2
    14.04.2024 Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions 2:4
    Australian NPL Queensland Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Queensland Lions16102439:231632
    2Peninsula1684435:171828
    3Moreton City Excelsior1484231:181328
    4Gold Coast Utd1673621:31-1024
    5Eastern Suburbs1475233:26723
    6Olympic FC1663720:17321
    7Gold Coast Knights1563619:18121
    8Wynnum Wolves1755732:34-220
    9Brisbane Roar U231762925:27-220
    10Brisbane City1653827:33-618
    11St. George Willawong1525816:31-1511
    12Sunshine Coast Wanderers1423911:34-239

          Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League

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