Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
25/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Queensland - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFQTV

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
73
Corner kicks
613
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
515
Corner kicks
613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, ,
  • 29', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 3 - 1, ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Peninsula Power
23.5%
Draw
22.1%
Queensland Lions
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 23.5% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 23.1% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peninsula Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peninsula Power's form might have worsened.
  • Queensland Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Queensland Lions's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peninsula Power, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queensland Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Peninsula Power - Queensland Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.95
    (2.8)
    4.19
    (3.94)
    1.7
    (2.14)
    7.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peninsula Power won 0.
    • In recent matches, Peninsula Power has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lions is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lions might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peninsula Power won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peninsula Power won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peninsula Power - Queensland Lions were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Queensland Lions - Peninsula Power 3:0
    02.08.2025 Peninsula Power - Queensland Lions 1:2
    24.05.2025 Queensland Lions - Peninsula Power 1:1
    25.05.2024 Queensland Lions - Peninsula Power 3:1
    24.02.2024 Peninsula Power - Queensland Lions 0:3
    Latest results of Peninsula Power
    Latest results of Queensland Lions
    Australian NPL Queensland Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moreton City Excelsior970228:91921
    2Queensland Lions952223:111217
    3Olympic FC952219:12717
    4Peninsula952219:14517
    5Eastern Suburbs950419:13615
    6Gold Coast Knights842221:111014
    7Brisbane City934220:20013
    8Wynnum Wolves932414:19-511
    9Gold Coast Utd821511:17-67
    10Magic United92166:26-207
    11Brisbane Roar U23920710:24-146
    12Rochedale912611:25-145

          Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League