Result
3:1
28/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (266/335) | 84% (383/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (266/335) | 84% (383/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/121) | 66% (76/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hernandez S. A. ⚽, Sosa S. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Ramos Aviles E. M. ⚽, Hernandez S. A. (A),
- 37', Diaz S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Soto L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gallegos S. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
- 46', Diaz S. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 46', Ferreyra N. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 55', Berrios B. 🟨,
- 59', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 63', Hernandez S. A. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
- 63', Medina A. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, Sosa S. ⚽,
- 72', Soto L. ↓, Rebolledo R. ↑,
- 74', Herrera E. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Pinto M. ⚽, Jara Gonzalez G. A. (A),
- 86', Sosa S. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
- 88', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 89', Ramos Aviles E. M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Everton de Viña
52.2% | Draw
26% | Deportes La Serena
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton de Viña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.97) |
3.56 ↑
(3.55) |
4.26 ↑
(3.65) |
7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Everton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Everton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes La Serena's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Everton is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Everton de Viña won against Deportes La Serena?
Everton de Viña has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Everton de Viña?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
13.04.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Everton de Viña
2:1
26.08.2022
Everton de Viña
-
Deportes La Serena
4:0
Latest results of Everton de Viña
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:22 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 47:24 | 23 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 36:38 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 | La Serena | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 28:46 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:52 | -27 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
