Universidad de Chile vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
05/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 8

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.830.68
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
64
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
109
Passes
77% (250/325)76% (256/336)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
0.830.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.380.62
Total shots
148
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
12
Blocked shots
72
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
109
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
711
Passes
77% (250/325)76% (256/336)
Long passes
38% (19/50)54% (31/57)
Passes in final third
72% (61/85)58% (56/97)
Crosses
42% (8/19)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.57
Throw ins
1723
Fouls
117
Tackles
65% (15/23)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4953
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
0.622.38
Goals prevented
0.62-1.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 38', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
  • 43', Salazar Y. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Morales M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Romero L. , Barrera L. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Hormazabal F. , Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 0, Guerrero Pena M. G. , Poblete Zuniga I. E. (A),
  • 58', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. , Assadi L. ,
  • 61', Stefanelli N. , Sepulveda C. ,
  • 63', Marin M. 🟨,
  • 68', 3 - 0, Altamirano J. , Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
  • 71', Marin M. , Diaz S. ,
  • 71', Vargas J. , Velasquez M. ,
  • 74', Altamirano J. , Arce A. ,
  • 74', Morales M. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 74', Barrera L. 🟨,
  • 75', Castellon G. 🟨,
  • 82', Poblete Zuniga I. E. , Diaz M. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 0, Arce A. , Assadi L. (A),

Chances of winning


Universidad de Chile
57.2%
Draw
25%
Deportes La Serena
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 21.9% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 20.9% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Chile's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.46)
    3.73
    (4.25)
    5.31
    (6.4)
    6.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Universidad de Chile is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    20.03.2026 Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena 2:2
    28.09.2025 Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile 1:1
    17.04.2025 Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena 3:1
    09.10.2022 Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile 1:2
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Limache1163225:111421
    2Colo Colo1070311:6521
    3Huachipato1161418:14419
    4O'Higgins1161417:16119
    5U. Catolica1152424:17717
    6U. De Chile1145211:6517
    7Nublense1145211:9217
    8Coquimbo1051414:12216
    9Everton1143412:10215
    10La Serena1135313:14-114
    11Palestino1142514:18-414
    12U. De Concepcion114259:19-1014
    13A. Italiano1132615:16-111
    14Cobresal1131717:23-610
    15Union La Calera1131710:21-1110
    16D. Concepcion112278:17-98

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso