Ilves vs KalPa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ilves
57.7%
Draw
21.5%
KalPa
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 21.7% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 22.3% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Ilves - KalPa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.65)
    4.27
    (4.3)
    4.59
    (4.32)
    6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • Ilves Tampere leads series 2-0. Third leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 5.
    • Ilves is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • KalPa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ilves is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:56. (average 3.1:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 3.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - KalPa were as follows:
    31.03.2026 KalPa - Ilves 3:4
    29.03.2026 Ilves - KalPa 3:1
    21.02.2026 KalPa - Ilves 3:4
    31.01.2026 Ilves - KalPa 3:1
    01.11.2025 Ilves - KalPa 5:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    31.03.2026 KalPa - Ilves 3:4
    29.03.2026 Ilves - KalPa 3:1
    17.03.2026 Ilves - SaiPa 4:1
    14.03.2026 Lukko - Ilves 4:1
    13.03.2026 JYP - Ilves 3:6
    Latest results of KalPa
    31.03.2026 KalPa - Ilves 3:4
    29.03.2026 Ilves - KalPa 3:1
    26.03.2026 KalPa - HIFK 3:2
    24.03.2026 HIFK - KalPa 1:4
    23.03.2026 HIFK - KalPa 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Tappara (1)Bye
    2Lukko (5)Hameenlinna (12)1 : 3
    3Ilves (4)Bye
    4KalPa (7)IFK Helsinki (10)3 : 2
    5KooKoo (2)Bye
    6JYP (6)Pelicans (11)0 : 3
    7SaiPa (3)Bye
    8Assat (8)Kiekko-Espoo (9)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tappara (1)Hameenlinna (12)1 : 1
    2Ilves (4)KalPa (7)2 : 0
    3KooKoo (2)Pelicans (11)1 : 1
    4SaiPa (3)Assat (8)1 : 1