Result
3:4
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 3.51 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.34% (3/29) | 14.29% (4/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (24/28) | 89.66% (26/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 12.5% (1/8) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (7/8) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.45 | 54.55 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 06:41, Okany A. (2 min),
- 12:48, 0 - 1, Kucerik R. (G), Borg E. (A),
- 15:07, (2 min),
- 19:19, 1 - 1, Saarelainen J. (G), Kapanen K. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:51, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 04:09, 2 - 1, Okany A. (G), Curry P. (A), Hartikainen T. (A2)
- 04:17, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 08:44, 2 - 2, Bjorkqvist K. (G), Nyberg J. (A), Quenneville P. (A2)
- 09:28, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 11:23, 2 - 3, Mantykivi M. (G), Pelli A. (A), Klingberg C. (A2)
- 13:25, 2 - 4, Torok M. (G), Kos O. (A), Kucerik R. (A2)
- 14:52, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 17:31, Parikka J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:34, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 06:00, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
- 09:12, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 17:23, Engberg T. (5 min),
- 18:40, Mantykivi M. (2 min),
- 19:57, 3 - 4, Hartikainen T. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Curry P. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
31.7% | Draw
24.1% | Ilves
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KalPa - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.77) |
3.92 ↑
(3.6) |
2.12 ↓
(2.31) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- Ilves Tampere leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:60. (average 2.7:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:30. (average 3.7:3).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Ilves?
KalPa has won 18 of their last 35 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KalPa?
Ilves has won 17 of their last 35 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Ilves were as follows:
08.04.2026
Ilves
-
KalPa
2:1
06.04.2026
KalPa
-
Ilves
5:3
03.04.2026
Ilves
-
KalPa
3:4
31.03.2026
KalPa
-
Ilves
3:4
29.03.2026
Ilves
-
KalPa
3:1
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 4 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Ilves (4) | 2 : 2 |
| 2 | KooKoo (2) | SaiPa (3) | 2 : 1 |
