Deportivo Maipú vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ozuna E. ,
  • 38', Eggel M. 🟨,
  • 42', Ozuna E. 🟨,
  • 44', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Chiozza L. , Veliz D. ,
  • 46', Gerez M. , Sala S. G. ,
  • 54', Saccone F. , Silva T. ,
  • 56', Albertengo M. , Lesman G. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Palacios P. ,
  • 61', Oyola A. I. , Federico T. ,
  • 71', Ozuna E. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 74', de la Reta J. 🟨,
  • 85', Bonfigli M. , Sandoval I. ,
  • 90', Palacios P. , Juarez N. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maipú
40.6%
Draw
34%
Güemes
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 30.4% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 32% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.
  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Güemes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Maipú - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.85)
    2.73
    (3)
    3.67
    (4.53)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipú - Güemes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Güemes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maipú - Güemes were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 1:1
    07.09.2024 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 4:0
    22.04.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Latest results of Güemes
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation