Result
3:0
12/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (225/285) | 82% (359/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (225/285) | 82% (359/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/103) | 71% (57/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Graneros A. ⚽, Benincasa H. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Lupu H. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
- 40', Sandoval R. 🟨,
- 42', Marina J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lecaros A. ↓, Campos H. ↑,
- 62', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 62', Lupu H. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 66', Garcia L. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Diaz R. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
- 71', Perleche E. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
- 74', Paredes G. ↓, Portugal B. ↑,
- 76', Olmedo L. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
- 77', Graneros A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 84', Paico K. 🟨,
- 86', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Mendez P. ↑,
- 86', Marina J. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
69.9% | Draw
20.1% | Comerciantes Unidos
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.4) |
4.65 ↓
(4.67) |
9.2 ↑
(7.85) |
7.8%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Alianza Atlético (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
- Alianza Atlético has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Comerciantes Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Atlético is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Melian D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Sen M.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Alianza Atlético will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Alianza Atlético has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Alianza Atlético?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
23.09.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
23.04.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Alianza Atlético
0:0
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
