Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (403/494) | 75% (238/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (403/494) | 75% (238/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/65) | 33% (19/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (159/208) | 55% (36/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/39) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Santamaria A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Robaldo V. ⚽, Flores F. (A),
- 51', 1 - 1, Flores E. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, Robaldo V. ⚽, Coronel F. (A),
- 57', Calcaterra H. ↓, Perez Guedes M. ↑,
- 57', Inga C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
- 60', Robaldo V. 🟨,
- 66', Flores F. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
- 66', del Castillo J. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
- 66', Gordillo A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
- 70', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 70', Castillo J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 75', Corzo A. ↓, Ancajima H. ↑,
- 78', Prieto D. 🟨,
- 78', Suarez R. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
- 86', Perez J. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes
69.3% | Draw
20.1% | Alianza Atlético
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)The chances for Alianza Atlético have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.33) |
4.61 ↓
(4.83) |
8.41 ↓
(8.81) |
7.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 4.
- Recent performances by Uni de Deportes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Atlético has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Perez Guedes M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:19. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Alianza Atlético?
Universitario de Deportes has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Universitario de Deportes?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
01.10.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:2
11.05.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
0:1
15.09.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:3
05.04.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
1:0
03.07.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Atlético
2:0
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
