San Lorenzo vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.26
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
246
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
163
Free Kicks
1827
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
31
Throw-ins
1921
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
2213
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
54
Attacks
9098
Dangerous Attacks
4322

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Leguizamon I. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 32', Irala E. 🟨,
  • 33', Barrios M. 🟨,
  • 36', Lemos L. 🟨,
  • 42', Cuello A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 1, Cuello A. , Remedi E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Amaro K. , Martinez E. ,
  • 50', Barrios N. 🟨,
  • 51', Leguizamon I. 🟨,
  • 60', Ocampo M. , Machado R. ,
  • 60', Barrios M. , Franco N. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Rodriguez L. , Cayetano A. (A),
  • 67', Barrios N. , Ferreira C. ,
  • 78', Leguizamon I. , Medina T. ,
  • 85', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Campi G. , Ferreira C. (A),
  • 89', Rodriguez D. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 90', Herazo D. , Herrera D. ,
  • 90', Irala E. , Perruzzi F. ,
  • 90', Rosso J. , Vergara H. ,
  • 90+3', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', de los Santos M. 🟥,
  • 90+6', Ferreira C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
58.8%
Draw
26.3%
Liverpool Montevideo
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 25% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 24.5% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.55)
    3.58
    (3.7)
    6.28
    (6)
    6.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: San Lorenzo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • San Lorenzo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Liverpool is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.
    • In this match San Lorenzo is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    23.04.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - San Lorenzo 1:0
    Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)