Result
1:1
25/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (124/224) | 76% (323/427) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (124/224) | 76% (323/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (26/58) | 37% (27/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (58/111) | 49% (39/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Arce I. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Monje P. ↓, Barbieri M. ↑,
- 46', Gallo R. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
- 53', Alonso A. 🟨,
- 54', Rodriguez Pagano T. ↓, De Ritis M. ↑,
- 54', Rodriguez G. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
- 54', Perruzzi I. ↓, Auzmendi R. ↑,
- 60', Alonso A. ↓, Goitia J. ↑,
- 69', Tripichio N. 🟨,
- 75', Bracamonte M. ↓, Mino F. ↑,
- 77', Vietto L. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Cuello A. ⚽, Gulli F. (A),
- 83', Garcia M. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
- 84', Gulli F. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Riestra
38.4% | Draw
35.6% | San Lorenzo
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.73) |
2.66 ↓
(2.69) |
3.62 ↑
(2.93) |
5.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - San Lorenzo (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportivo Riestra could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Benegas N.
(Yellow Cards)
Bracamonte M.
(Inactive)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Injury)
Cerutti E.
(Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Herazo D.
(Inactive)
Hernandez G.
(Inactive)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Ladstatter A.
(Red Card)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against San Lorenzo?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Deportivo Riestra?
San Lorenzo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo were as follows:
31.10.2025
San Lorenzo
-
Deportivo Riestra
1:0
20.04.2025
Deportivo Riestra
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
12.05.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
San Lorenzo
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
