Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        14/05/2024 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
 
                                                - Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.50 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 46% | 54% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 10 | 19 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 8 | 14 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 9 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 21 | 25 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 7 | 11 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Attacks | 
|---|
| 111 | 149 | 
| Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|
| 33 | 44 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 44', Varela J. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 1)
 - 46', Nunez C. ↓, Blasi B. ↑, 
 - 53', 0 - 1, Bailone I. (Pen), 
 - 54', 1 - 1, Nandin D. ⚽, Varela J. (A), 
 - 59', De Los Santos E. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑, 
 - 64', 2 - 1, Bueno G. ⚽, Urretaviscaya J. (A), 
 - 70', Blas Caceres ↓, Gomez A. ↑, 
 - 76', Rodriguez L. ↓, Pereira A. ↑, 
 - 77', Monzon L. ↓, Mendez E. ↑, 
 - 81', Caballero G. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑, 
 - 81', Duarte D. ↓, Arevalo R. ↑, 
 - 87', Alfaro J. ↓, Velazco F. ↑, 
 - 90', Nandin D. ↓, Rivero J. ↑, 
 - 90+1', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑, 
 - 90+4', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨, 
 - 90+5', Santacruz Rodas J. F. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Racing Montevideo  58.6% | Draw  24.8% | Nacional Asuncion  16.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.6 ↓ (1.78) | 
			   3.76 ↑ (3.35) | 
			   5.64 ↑ (4.42) | 
			   7% (8.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 46.4% – 99%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - Nacional Asuncion is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - In this match Racing is a favorite.
 - Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Nacional Asuncion?
                    
                    
                        
                            Racing Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Racing Montevideo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Nacional Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
                                                        
                                25.04.2024 
                                Nacional Asuncion 
                                - 
                                Racing Montevideo 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Racing Montevideo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Nacional Asuncion