Result
03/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
38% | Draw
30.3% | Nacional Asuncion
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.68) |
3.05 ↓
(3.16) |
2.92 ↑
(2.63) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
- Guaraní is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 7 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
01.03.2026
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:1
14.11.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:4
21.09.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:0
12.07.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
26.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
