Result
2:0
04/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 15
- Referee: Fellas K. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Bruno 🟨,
- 39', Sunjic I. 🟨,
- 45+4', Tomas M. 🟨,
- 45+5', David Luiz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Quina D. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Sunjic I. ⚽,
- 62', David Luiz (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Orsic M. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 69', Gorter J. ↓, Michail N. ↑,
- 69', Abagna D. ↓, Dalcio ↑,
- 74', Diego Rosa 🟨,
- 80', Drazic S. ↓, Diamantakos D. ↑,
- 80', Marquinhos ↓, Geovane Meurer ↑,
- 83', Dragomir V. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
- 90', Quina D. ↓, Guessand A. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Brito A. ⚽,
- 90+6', Koutsakos N. ↓, Poursaitidis C. ↑,
- 90+6', Tomas M. ↓, Appiah C. ↑,
- 90+8', Brorsson F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paphos
46.5% | Draw
28.5% | APOEL
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and APOEL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Paphos - APOEL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.16) |
3.25 ↓
(3.54) |
3.72 ↑
(3.07) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paphos - APOEL?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). APOEL will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Paphos (votes: 3 - 33.3%). APOEL (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 3.
- Paphos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, APOEL has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- APOEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paphos is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Paphos: Langa B.
(International duty)
- There will not play in APOEL: Marquinhos
(Inactive)
Sotiriou P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paphos: Sema K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in APOEL: Dalcio
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against APOEL?
Paphos has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has APOEL won against Paphos?
APOEL has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - APOEL were as follows:
31.08.2025
APOEL
-
Paphos
0:1
12.05.2025
APOEL
-
Paphos
1:1
06.04.2025
Paphos
-
APOEL
0:1
24.02.2025
APOEL
-
Paphos
0:2
30.01.2025
APOEL
-
Paphos
1:2
Cypriot First Division Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | 46 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Apollon | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Pafos | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | 29 | 51 |
| 5 | APOEL | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | 18 | 45 |
| 6 | Aris | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | 22 | 43 |
| 7 | Omonia Aradippou | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
| 8 | AEL Limassol | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Anorthosis | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 10 | Krasava | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | Ol. Nicosia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
| 12 | Chloraka | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
| 13 | Achnas | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
