Result
1:1
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 30
- Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Jaja ⚽,
- 35', Jaja 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Brito A. 🟨,
- 61', Ioannou P. 🟨,
- 63', Miramon ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
- 63', Gurfinkel Y. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
- 65', Jaja ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 65', Lele ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
- 74', Ioannou P. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
- 80', Brito A. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
- 82', Gorter J. 🟨,
- 84', Pons P. ↓, Mudrazija R. ↑,
- 84', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Mudrazija R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paphos
45.4% | Draw
27.8% | AEK Larnaca
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Paphos - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.08) |
3.34 ↓
(3.49) |
3.46 ↑
(3.29) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paphos - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Paphos has had a series of away games.
- Paphos might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cabrera E.
(Knee Injury)
Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Saborit E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Paphos: Goldar D.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against AEK Larnaca?
Paphos has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Paphos?
AEK Larnaca has won 8 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
25.01.2026
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
1:2
30.10.2025
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
1:2
05.10.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
2:4
24.05.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Paphos
1:0
18.05.2025
Paphos
-
AEK Larnaca
2:0
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 74:21 | 53 | 74 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 28 | 61 |
| 3 | Apollon | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Pafos | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:32 | 27 | 55 |
| 5 | APOEL | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 52:37 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Aris | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
