AEK Larnaca vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Cypriot First Division AEK Larnaca - Paphos
Result
0:1
13/09/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Round 3
  • Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
26
Corner kicks
36
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
919
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
310
Blocked shots
43
Corner kicks
36
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1112
Throw ins
1117
Fouls
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Quina D. 🟨,
  • 33', Sunjic I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Pileas K. ↓, Olivan B. ↑,
  • 59', Ivanovic D. ↓, Chacon Y. ↑,
  • 59', Repas J. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
  • 60', Sema K. ↓, Biel ↑,
  • 60', Lele ↓, Dragomir V. ↑,
  • 62', 0 - 1, Dragomir V. ⚽,
  • 68', Trica A. ↓, Andereggen N. ↑,
  • 73', Ioannou N. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
  • 76', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Guga ↑,
  • 77', Quina D. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
  • 78', Pankov I. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
  • 90+2', Miramon 🟨,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
36.2%
Draw
29.3%
Paphos
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 28% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 27.7% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54 ↑
    (2.34)
    3.14 ↓
    (3.31)
    2.66 ↓
    (2.86)
    8.7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Inactive) Cabrera E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Paphos: Jaja (Inactive) Kyriakidis C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Paphos were as follows:
    16.05.2026 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:2
    18.04.2026 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    25.01.2026 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    30.10.2025 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    05.10.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:4
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    Latest results of Paphos
    03.09.2026 Omonia - Paphos 0:1 ✺
    27.08.2026 Paphos - Dinamo City 4:2 ✺
    20.08.2026 Dinamo City - Paphos 1:1 ✺
    Cypriot First Division Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AEK Larnaca43019:459
    2AEL Limassol43016:7-19
    3Omonia42208:268
    4Pafos42114:227
    5Apollon41307:526
    6Omonia Aradippou41304:316
    7Omonia 29th May41219:725
    8Aris41214:6-25
    9APOEL411210:734
    10Ol. Nicosia40407:704
    11Nea Salamis41128:9-14
    12Karmiotissa40313:6-33
    13Anorthosis41033:9-63
    14Krasava40042:10-80

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