Result
2:1
21/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 31
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (432/497) | 82% (329/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (432/497) | 82% (329/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 54% (31/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (60/88) | 58% (52/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Crepulja L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', 1 - 1, Susak M. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
- 36', Susak M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lepinjica I. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
- 57', Sabra I. ↓, Stojakovic A. ↑,
- 72', Susak M. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Boskovic B. ⚽, Vesovic M. (A),
- 85', Dabro M. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
- 88', Kovacic D. ↓, Ascic M. ↑,
- 90+2', Subotic M. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
- 90+2', Vasilj J. ↓, Smiljanic P. ↑,
- 90+2', Belcar L. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
48.4% | Draw
27.9% | Slaven Belupo
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiva Zagreb's performance.Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slaven Belupo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiva Zagreb that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slaven Belupo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.21) |
3.34 ↑
(3.33) |
4 ↑
(3) |
6.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiva Zagreb will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location.
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2.
- Lokomotiva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Slaven Belupo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lokomotiva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Katic I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Leovac M.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M.
(Hip Injury)
Grgic A.
(Injury)
Jakir A.
(Injury)
Mitrovic J.
(Yellow Cards)
Nestorovski I.
(Inactive)
Zuta L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Isasegi K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Slaven Belupo?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Slaven Belupo has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
10.03.2026
Slaven Belupo
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:1
13.02.2026
Slaven Belupo
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:0
16.01.2026
Slaven Belupo
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:4
08.11.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Slaven Belupo
1:1
23.08.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:2
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87:27 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 54:30 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38:50 | -12 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:45 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:62 | -28 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
