Result
1:4
26/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 35
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (260/340) | 84% (381/456) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (260/340) | 84% (381/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (65/97) | 71% (115/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.07 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Boersma B. ⚽, Koudou T. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Pupe J. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Sissako A. 🟨,
- 46', Matsuzawa K. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Merlen R. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
- 63', 1 - 3, Sebaoui I. ⚽, Merlen R. (A),
- 73', Koudou T. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
- 73', Boersma B. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 73', Pupe J. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 4, Ito R. ⚽, Sebaoui I. (A),
- 83', Sebaoui I. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 84', Ito R. ↓, Mbe Soh L. ↑,
- 86', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
- 88', Sissako A. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
- 90+2', Hammar F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
30.2% | Draw
26.1% | Sint-Truidense
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.15) |
3.61 ↓
(3.71) |
2.15 ↓
(2.18) |
6%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.
- Mechelen has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sint-Truidense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sint-Truidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Diouf G.
(Red Card)
Ozdemir H.
(Inactive)
Zekri M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Hata T.
(Inactive)
Muja A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Sint-Truidense?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against KV Mechelen?
Sint-Truidense has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
21.12.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
04.10.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
1:3
21.02.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
08.11.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
12.05.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 46 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 36 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 28 |
| 5 | Gent | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
