Sint-Truidense vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 36
  • Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
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paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.770.28
Ball possession
77%23%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
51
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
91
Passes
90% (565/629)59% (112/191)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.770.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.82
Total shots
143
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
92
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1110
Passes
90% (565/629)59% (112/191)
Long passes
56% (18/32)30% (17/56)
Passes in final third
87% (247/284)35% (18/51)
Crosses
22% (10/46)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.52
Throw ins
2718
Fouls
1011
Tackles
46% (6/13)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
1040
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.822.30
Goals prevented
-0.180.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Mac Allister K. 🟥,
  • 18', Ait El Hadj A. , Leysen F. ,
  • 33', Goto K. 🟨,
  • 45', Zorgane A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Niang O. , Schoofs R. ,
  • 56', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 63', Sebaoui I. , Matsuzawa K. ,
  • 67', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
  • 79', Merlen R. , Diouf O. ,
  • 85', Pupe J. , Jukleroed S. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Diouf O. , Jukleroed S. (A),
  • 90', Van De Perre K. , Fuseini M. ,
  • 90', Sykes R. , Sylla M. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Rodriguez K. , Schoofs R. (A),
  • 90+6', Rodriguez K. , Patris L. ,
  • 90+7', Sylla M. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 2 - 1, Ito R. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Sint-Truidense
25.2%
Draw
27.8%
Saint-Gilloise
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 27% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 26.4% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.65)
    3.4
    (3.48)
    2.01
    (1.99)
    5.9%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Union SG (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 0.
    • Recent performances by Sint-Truidense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Union SG is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Union SG might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Muja A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Biondic M. (Injury) David P. (Surgery) Zeneli B. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    04.04.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 1:0
    22.03.2026 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 1:3
    26.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:0
    02.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:1
    25.08.2024 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 0:0
    Latest results of Sint-Truidense
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Club Brugge KV650118:71147
    2Royale Union SG64118:4446
    3St. Truiden63129:5439
    4Anderlecht62049:14-528
    5KV Mechelen61145:14-927
    6Gent60332:7-526

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