Saint-Gilloise vs Sint-Truidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels).

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 31
Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	0.53
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
4	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
7	5
Passes
85% (414/487)	79% (360/453)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	0.00
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
9	3
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
9	0
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
34	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
6	9
Passes
85% (414/487)	79% (360/453)
Long passes
49% (26/53)	50% (33/66)
Passes in final third
69% (124/179)	63% (59/94)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.64
Throw ins
15	28
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
47% (7/15)	47% (8/17)
Duels won
36	36
Clearances
20	43
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	0.85
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Guilherme Smith ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
63', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
68', Sebaoui I. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
69', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Musliu V. ↑,
69', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
72', Biondic M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
79', Sissako A. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
79', Ito R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
82', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
82', Zeneli B. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
87', Zorgane A. 🟨,
90+2', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
90+7', Burgess C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Saint-Gilloise
57.3%

Draw
24.5%

Sint-Truidense
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.76)	3.9 ↑ (3.64)	5.15 ↑ (4.4)	5.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sint-Truidense (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Union SG (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Union SG (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - Union SG (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Union SG (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Union SG (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 2nd Half - Union SG (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Gilloise will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 9 - 90%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 10%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 4.
Union SG has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Sint-Truidense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
We predict that Union SG will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Sint-Truidense?

Saint-Gilloise has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Saint-Gilloise?

Sint-Truidense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense were as follows:

22.03.2026 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 1:3

26.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:0

02.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:1

25.08.2024 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 0:0

21.01.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:1

Latest results of Saint-Gilloise

22.03.2026 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 1:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH 2:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise 0:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Sint-Truidense

22.03.2026 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 1:3 ✺

15.03.2026 Genk - Sint-Truidense 1:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Royal Antwerp - Sint-Truidense 1:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Dender EH - Sint-Truidense 1:4 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	39
2	Club Brugge KV	2	2	0	0	6:3	3	38
3	St. Truiden	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	29
4	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	5:5	0	25
5	KV Mechelen	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	24
6	Gent	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	24

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