Universidad de Chile vs Universidad Católica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera Division Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 10
  • Referee: Jimenez Lazo F. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.15
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
81% (374/461)68% (188/275)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.00
Total shots
146
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
153
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
81% (374/461)68% (188/275)
Long passes
60% (39/65)51% (33/65)
Passes in final third
68% (93/136)47% (24/51)
Crosses
41% (11/27)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.34
Throw-ins
3413
Fouls
1211
Tackles
67% (10/15)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
529
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.40
Goals prevented
0.00-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Ampuero B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Medel G. , Asta-Buruaga T. ,
  • 48', Zampedri F. 🟨,
  • 58', Guerra N. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 59', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
  • 70', Mena E. , Valencia D. ,
  • 77', Sepulveda M. , Diaz A. ,
  • 77', Di Yorio L. , Contreras R. ,
  • 84', Ampuero B. , Arancibia Flores S. A. ,
  • 84', Zuqui F. , Farias A. ,
  • 87', Cuevas C. 🟨,
  • 89', Hormazabal F. , Montes G. ,
  • 90', Aranguiz C. , Guerrero Pena M. G. ,
  • 90+3', Montes C. , Rossel J. ,
  • 90+4', Diaz A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Contreras R. ,

Chances of winning


Universidad de Chile
56.1%
Draw
24.9%
Universidad Católica
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 25.5% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2% 24.7% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.73)
    3.8
    (3.7)
    4.98
    (4.7)
    6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
    • Universidad de Chile is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Uni Católica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Universidad de Chile is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Universidad de Chile will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile 1:2
    18.05.2024 Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica 1:2
    27.01.2024 Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile 1:3
    11.11.2023 Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile 1:3
    13.10.2022 Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile 2:2
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo23175136:122456
    2O'Higgins23118429:26341
    3A. Italiano23124739:33640
    4U. Catolica22116534:221239
    5Palestino23116630:21939
    6U. De Chile21122744:222238
    7Cobresal23115730:26438
    8Colo Colo2287732:26631
    9Huachipato23941034:34031
    10Nublense2278723:28-529
    11Union La Calera23751119:24-526
    12Everton22571024:32-822
    13La Serena22541325:41-1619
    14Limache23461325:35-1018
    15U. Espanola23521624:44-2017
    16Deportes Iquique22351423:45-2214

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso