Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (506/583) | 72% (217/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (506/583) | 72% (217/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 31% (22/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (139/183) | 64% (49/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/39) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Italo ⚽,
- 40', Ricardo Silva ↓, Mariano ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 46', Miqueias ↓, Felipe Amaral ↑,
- 46', David Lopes ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 63', Arthur Sousa ↓, Heber ↑,
- 68', Julio Cesar 🟨,
- 71', Labandeira F. ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 71', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 73', Leo Vieira 🟨,
- 77', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Bressan ↑,
- 83', Mailton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
- 84', Victor Caetano 🟨,
- 84', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 85', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
53.7% | Draw
27.7% | Chapecoense
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
América Mineiro - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.83) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
4.99 ↑
(4.2) |
7.1%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Samuel
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Red Card)
Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Joao Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Chapecoense?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against América Mineiro?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Chapecoense were as follows:
21.08.2024
América Mineiro
-
Chapecoense
0:0
04.05.2024
Chapecoense
-
América Mineiro
2:2
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | America MG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
