Result
0:3
12/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 4
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (313/376) | 78% (253/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 3.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (313/376) | 78% (253/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 63% (38/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 67% (54/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Emerson Santos ↓, Nathan Pelae ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', Dalbert 🟨,
- 63', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Tavinho ↑,
- 63', Dantas ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 66', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 69', Willian Bigode ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 69', Val Soares ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
- 70', Matheus Bianqui 🟨,
- 71', 0 - 1, Diego Galo ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 74', 0 - 2, Sander ⚽,
- 76', Diego Galo 🟨,
- 77', Ale ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
- 77', Everton Brito ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 87', Diego Galo ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
- 87', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 3, Tavinho ⚽, Juninho (A),
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
42.3% | Draw
29.8% | Grêmio Novorizontino
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.27) |
3.13 ↑
(3.06) |
3.34 ↑
(3.23) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of América MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Novorizontino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- América MG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Helio Borges
(Inactive)
Jordi
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Maykon Jesus
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nicolas Careca
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against América Mineiro?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
25.03.2026
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
América Mineiro
1:1
03.11.2025
América Mineiro
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:2
12.07.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
América Mineiro
3:1
16.08.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
América Mineiro
1:1
27.04.2024
América Mineiro
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:0
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
