Result
4:5
14/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/434) | 80% (334/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/434) | 80% (334/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 36% (12/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (78/103) | 61% (67/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.68 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', Dowd B. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Shokalook J. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 1, Fleming R. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 4)
- 48', Diouf J. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 2, Musu S. ⚽,
- 61', Osorio H. ↓, Poreba D. ↑,
- 63', Murray M. ↓, Infuso P. ↑,
- 64', Williams S. 🟨,
- 67', Lim E. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 2, Poreba D. ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 3, Musu S. ⚽,
- 72', Nigg D. ↓, Hyte D. ↑,
- 72', Kanyane G. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 4, Musu S. (Pen),
- 77', Guarino E. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
- 77', Elias P. ↓, McCamy C. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 4, Shokalook J. ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 5, Ponce J. ⚽,
- 89', Ponce J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Carrizo M. ↓, Loura J. ↑,
- 90+3', Musu S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire II
54.9% | Draw
21.8% | New York City II
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Chicago Fire II - New York City II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.57) |
4.2 ↓
(4.7) |
3.94 ↓
(4.25) |
9.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 1.
- Chicago Fire II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- New York City II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chicago Fire II is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Chicago Fire II will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire II won against New York City II?
Chicago Fire II has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City II won against Chicago Fire II?
New York City II has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - New York City II were as follows:
08.08.2025
New York City II
-
Chicago Fire II
3:4
23.05.2025
New York City II
-
Chicago Fire II
3:2
23.08.2024
New York City II
-
Chicago Fire II
3:2
14.07.2024
Chicago Fire II
-
New York City II
0:2
13.05.2024
Chicago Fire II
-
New York City II
2:4
Latest results of Chicago Fire II
Latest results of New York City II
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 5 : 3 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Philadelphia Union II (2) | |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
Final
