Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Lee Dong-Jun 🟨,
- 45+4', Maeng Seong-Ung 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Choi Ye-Hoon ↓, Park Cheol-Woo ↑,
- 46', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Lee Dong-Gyeong ↑,
- 46', Jeong Jae-sang ↓, Jeong Heon-taek ↑,
- 46', Lee Yong-Rae ↓, Kim Jung-Hyeon ↑,
- 62', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Park Dae-Hoon ↑,
- 63', Maeng Seong-Ung ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Jang Sung-won ⚽, Cesinha (A),
- 75', Min Kyeong-Hyeon ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
- 86', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Won Ki-Jong ↑,
- 87', 0 - 2, Caio Marcelo ⚽, Cesinha (A),
- 90+2', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Edgar ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Lee Dong-Gyeong (Pen),
- 90+5', Park Tae-Jun 🟨,
- 90+13', Kim Jung-Hyeon ↓, Jo Jin-Woo ↑,
Chances of winning
Gimcheon Sangmu
54.1% | Draw
23.7% | Daegu
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimcheon Sangmu's form might have worsened.Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.52) |
4.03 ↓
(4.52) |
4.32 ↓
(5.14) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Daegu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 4.
- Gimcheon Sangmu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Daegu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gimcheon Sangmu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gimcheon Sangmu is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against Daegu?
Gimcheon Sangmu has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daegu won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
Daegu has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu were as follows:
18.07.2025
Daegu
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
2:3
05.04.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Daegu
2:0
16.08.2024
Daegu
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
3:0
29.06.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Daegu
2:0
03.03.2024
Daegu
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
0:1
Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 45:32 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 4 | Pohang | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 6 | Gangwon | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 41 |
| 7 | Seoul | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 | Anyang | 29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Suwon FC | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 42:47 | -5 | 31 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:38 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Daegu ✔ | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 33:54 | -21 | 22 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
