Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 34
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (424/516) | 81% (347/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (424/516) | 81% (347/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (102/149) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Sousa A. ⚽, Carstensen R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Kostadinov T. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
- 68', Gale T. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
- 73', Hotic D. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 73', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 77', Mokwa T. ↓, Piasecki F. ↑,
- 81', Sousa A. ↓, Monka W. ↑,
- 87', Ishak M. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 90+1', Chrapek M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pereira J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
69.9% | Draw
18.5% | Piast Gliwice
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.4) |
5.08 ↑
(4.75) |
8.17 ↑
(6.75) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 19 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1.
- Lech is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lech is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Ankle Injury)
Hakans D.
(Inactive)
Murawski R.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Thordarson G.
(Broken collarbone)
Walemark P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
Pyrka A.
(Coach's decision)
- There are questionable in Lech: Jagiello F.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Lech will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Piast Gliwice?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Lech Poznań?
Piast Gliwice has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
29.11.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
29.06.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
1:0
10.12.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
22.07.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
12.03.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
