Result
0:0
02/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (357/403) | 81% (264/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (357/403) | 81% (264/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (31/45) | 35% (16/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (70/88) | 66% (68/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Lucas Ferreira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
- 64', Ferreira (Pen),
- 65', Ferreira ↓, Lucas Moura ↑,
- 65', Matheus Alves ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 69', Breno Lopes ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 74', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
- 80', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 81', Gustavo Mancha ↓, David Luiz ↑,
- 81', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 84', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
51.6% | Draw
29.5% | Fortaleza
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
São Paulo - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.9) |
3.24 ↓
(3.45) |
5.03 ↑
(4.1) |
5.2%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 50.9% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
- São Paulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Diaz E.
(Yellow Cards)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Marcos Antonio
(Yellow Cards)
Oscar
(Hamstring Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Ankle Injury)
Robert Arboleda
(Inactive)
Young
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Moises
(Injury)
Titi
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Franco A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Injury)
Rodrigo
(Inactive)
- We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Fortaleza?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against São Paulo?
Fortaleza has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Fortaleza were as follows:
27.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
São Paulo
1:0
13.04.2024
São Paulo
-
Fortaleza
1:2
20.09.2023
São Paulo
-
Fortaleza
1:2
11.05.2023
Fortaleza
-
São Paulo
0:0
28.08.2022
São Paulo
-
Fortaleza
0:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
