Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 22
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (246/303) | 88% (467/533) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (246/303) | 88% (467/533) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (50/70) | 69% (74/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Livaja M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', Sarlija Z. 🟨,
- 40', Rebic A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Bubanja V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Teklic T. ↓, Omerovic N. ↑,
- 51', Bubanja V. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 69', Akere S. ↓, Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↑,
- 69', Karacic F. ↓, Renan Guedes ↑,
- 73', Jelenic L. 🟨,
- 77', 0 - 2, Pukstas R. ⚽, Brajkovic R. (A),
- 79', Brajkovic R. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
- 82', Colina D. ↓, Jezic J. ↑,
- 88', Livaja M. ↓, Hodak L. ↑,
- 90+4', Omerovic N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
25.5% | Draw
28.4% | Hajduk Split
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Osijek - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.23) |
3.28 ↑
(3.22) |
2.03 ↓
(2.13) |
7.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Hajduk Split?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Osijek (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Osijek (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.75 - Hajduk (4.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hajduk Split will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hajduk Split will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hajduk (votes: 6 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hajduk has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Osijek: Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Vrbancic L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Inactive)
Durdov B.
(Inactive)
Ivusic I.
(Injury)
Sego M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Hajduk Split?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Osijek?
Hajduk Split has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Hajduk Split were as follows:
08.11.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
2:0
24.08.2025
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
0:2
27.04.2025
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:0
22.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
4:0
24.11.2024
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:2
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
