Result
1:3
07/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/296) | 88% (556/634) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/296) | 88% (556/634) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (37/79) | 75% (87/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Kadusic A. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Livaja M. ⚽, Brajkovic R. (A),
- 34', Livaja M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', Frederiksen E. 🟨,
- 51', 0 - 2, Pajaziti A. ⚽, Sego M. (A),
- 58', 0 - 3, Livaja M. ⚽, Pukstas R. (A),
- 59', Stulac L. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
- 67', Mauric A. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
- 76', Pukstas R. ↓, Skoko N. ↑,
- 76', Sego M. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 76', Miettinen S. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
- 76', Rozic V. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 76', Prevljak S. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 81', Brajkovic R. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 81', Krovinovic F. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Agada C. ⚽,
- 86', Sanyang A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
21.3% | Draw
25.2% | Hajduk Split
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+5%)
Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↓
(4.83) |
3.71 ↓
(3.85) |
1.74 ↑
(1.66) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Hajduk will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Mauric A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Muscle Injury)
Hodak L.
(Muscle Injury)
Ivusic I.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Hajduk Split?
Istra 1961 has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Istra 1961?
Hajduk Split has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split were as follows:
25.01.2026
Hajduk Split
-
Istra 1961
1:2
19.10.2025
Istra 1961
-
Hajduk Split
0:3
03.08.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Istra 1961
2:1
23.04.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Istra 1961
0:1
15.02.2025
Istra 1961
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87:27 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38:50 | -12 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:45 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:62 | -28 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
