Atlanta United vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - DC United
Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.90
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
87% (372/430)83% (338/409)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.611.28
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2220
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
87% (372/430)83% (338/409)
Long passes
65% (34/52)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
70% (73/104)60% (61/102)
Crosses
17% (4/23)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.85
Throw-ins
1014
Fouls
1217
Tackles
63% (12/19)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4648
Clearances
2120
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.281.61
Goals prevented
0.280.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Almiron M. ,
  • 37', MacNaughton L. 🟨,
  • 43', Clark C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Stroud J. , Peglow ,
  • 55', Clark C. , Gabriel Pirani ,
  • 64', Hopkins J. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pirani ,
  • 68', Antley C. , Murrell J. ,
  • 74', Miranchuk Al. , Thiare J. ,
  • 75', Brennan L. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 80', Hopkins J. , Boris Enow ,
  • 82', Servania B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
57.7%
Draw
22.4%
DC United
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 28.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 28.6% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and DC United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that DC United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta United - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.1)
    4.34
    (3.2)
    4.94
    (3.4)
    2.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Atlanta United - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). DC United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • DC United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Hernandez R. (International duty) Lobjanidze S. (International duty) Mihaj E. (International duty)
    • There will not play in DC United: Barraza L. (Red Card) Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Herrera A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Lennon B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reilly W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Tubbs G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - DC United were as follows:
    05.07.2025 DC United - Atlanta United 0:0
    26.07.2024 Atlanta United - DC United 3:4
    19.06.2024 DC United - Atlanta United 0:1
    11.05.2024 Atlanta United - DC United 2:3
    20.09.2023 DC United - Atlanta United 1:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of DC United
    04.10.2025 DC United - Charlotte 0:1
    20.09.2025 Inter Miami - DC United 3:2
    13.09.2025 DC United - Orlando City 1:1
    30.08.2025 New York City - DC United 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2