Result
1:1
18/02/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 21
- Referee: Brazao M. (Por)
Chances of winning
Penafiel
55.2% | Draw
26.6% | Covilhã
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Penafiel - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.49) |
3.45 ↓
(3.6) |
5.05 ↓
(6.38) |
8.8%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Covilhã?
Users Predictions:
Covilhã will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 3.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Penafiel is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Covilhã?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Penafiel?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Covilhã were as follows:
27.08.2022
Covilhã
-
Penafiel
0:2
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:3 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Vizela | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Maritimo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Chaves | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Torreense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Felgueiras | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | SC Farense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Feirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Oliveirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Leixoes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Benfica B | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
