Result
04/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Torreense
51.5% | Draw
26.6% | Penafiel
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)The chances for Penafiel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Torreense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78
(1.78) |
3.47 ↓
(3.63) |
4.19 ↓
(4.28) |
8.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Torreense is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Torreense won against Penafiel?
Torreense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Torreense?
Penafiel has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Torreense - Penafiel were as follows:
21.12.2025
Penafiel
-
Torreense
1:0
05.05.2025
Penafiel
-
Torreense
0:1
22.12.2024
Torreense
-
Penafiel
0:1
16.05.2024
Penafiel
-
Torreense
1:1
15.01.2024
Torreense
-
Penafiel
1:0
Latest results of Torreense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
