Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
13/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 24
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.121.35
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
28
Shots on Goal
07
Shots off Goal
21
Blocked Shots
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Shots inside the Box
15
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
60
Free Kicks
1313
Offsides
20
Fouls
1313
Throw-ins
1918
Touches in the Opposition Box
1225
Passes
76% (314/414)79% (317/403)
Passes in the final third
56% (53/94)62% (66/107)
Crosses
0% (0/9)15% (2/13)
Tackles
87% (20/23)68% (17/25)
Clearances Total
1520
Interceptions
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Owusu 🟨,
  • 15', Beklevic F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Laura G. , Bajic R. ,
  • 46', Celik O. , Gultekin Y. ,
  • 50', Aktas O. 🟨,
  • 59', Schulz N. , Pehlivan I. ,
  • 60', Pehlivan I. 🟨,
  • 65', Owusu , Cephas R. ,
  • 67', Camacho J. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 74', Rotariu D. 🟨,
  • 81', Wesley Moraes (Pen),
  • 81', 0 - 1, Wesley Moraes ,
  • 83', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 85', Serginho , Sivri A. ,
  • 85', Gurpuz G. , Mert M. ,
  • 85', Dalcio , Cokcalis I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ankaragücü
42.8%
Draw
27.9%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 26.6% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.5% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ankaragücü's form might have worsened.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fatih Karagümrükspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ankaragücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.86)
    3.35
    (3.48)
    3.2
    (3.94)
    6.7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 35%88%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Manitoba won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Texas have a series of home games.
    • Texas will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Manitoba to win the game is with odds 2.83.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Manitoba won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 74:72 (average 3.7:3.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Manitoba won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 33:32 (average 3.7:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Ankaragücü 3:2
    24.01.2024 Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0
    27.08.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Ankaragücü 1:1
    31.07.2023 Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0
    04.02.2023 Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:2
    Latest results of Ankaragücü
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to