Result
0:4
16/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EGYPT: Premier League - Round 14
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (202/294) | 83% (378/453) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 47% (35/74) | 68% (73/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 33% (3/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 80% (12/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Ateya M. (Pen),
- 10', Reda A. 🟨,
- 24', Mostafa A. 🟨,
- 26', El Shahat H. (Pen),
- 45+4', Nasr M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Abdelsamia M. ↓, Farag N. ↑,
- 46', Traore E. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
- 46', Zidan M. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, Ashour E. ⚽, Abdallah M. (A),
- 57', Hamdi M. 🟨,
- 69', Mohamed H. 🟨,
- 74', Khatary M. ↓, El Kot O. ↑,
- 76', Gradisar N. ↓, Abou Ali W. ↑,
- 76', Rabia R. ↓, Dari A. ↑,
- 77', Ateya M. ↓, Karim Nedved ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, El Shahat H. ⚽,
- 84', El Shahat H. ↓, El Debes K. ↑,
- 85', Ashour E. ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 88', 0 - 4, Reda A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Mohamed H. ↓, Katkot A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ismaily 13.5% | Draw 25% | Al Ahly Cairo 61.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.91 ↑ (6.69) |
3.72 ↓ (3.98) |
1.51 ↑ (1.45) |
7.5% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 0.
- Ismaily is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Al Ahly is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ismaily could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Al Ahly is certain favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 0 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.4:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ismaily won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Ismaily has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Ismaily?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
01.05.2024
Ismaily
-
Al Ahly Cairo
1:2
08.10.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Ismaily
3:1
05.07.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Ismaily
1:0
19.10.2022
Ismaily
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
Latest results of Ismaily
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Masry | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Pyramids | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | ZED | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Smouha | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 10 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Pharco | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Al Ittihad | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5:15 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )