Result
1:0
09/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Referee: Al Ghazi M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (89/178) | 67% (221/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.43 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (89/178) | 67% (221/329) |
| Long passes |
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| 32% (23/73) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 49% (36/74) | 50% (54/107) |
| Crosses |
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| 8% (1/12) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
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| 19 | 32 |
| Fouls |
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| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 75% (9/12) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.05 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Salim M. ⚽, Kahraba (A),
- 42', Wagdi M. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
- 45+4', Hussein H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Salim M. ↓, Mohamed H. ↑,
- 59', Hassan M. ↓, Katkot A. ↑,
- 59', Khatary M. ↓, Ahmed O. ↑,
- 64', El Nagaawy I. 🟨,
- 65', Abdelnasser M. ↓, Adel M. ↑,
- 68', Ojera J. 🟨,
- 78', Ojera J. ↓, Naguib S. ↑,
- 78', El Wahsh O. ↓, Abdellah I. ↑,
- 80', Mohamed A. ↓, Ammar M. ↑,
- 80', Samiae M. ↓, El Atty M. ↑,
- 83', Hawash A. 🟨,
- 85', Galal K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Katkot A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Aboul Saoud M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Mokawloon El Arab
44.2% | Draw
35.9% | Ismaily
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Ismaily has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.95) |
2.6 ↓
(2.81) |
4.7 ↓
(4.77) |
7.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Ismaily will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 84.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 67.8% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 2.
- Recent performances by El Mokawloon have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ismaily is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ismaily may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, El Mokawloon is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Ismaily?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Ismaily has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily were as follows:
22.01.2026
Ismaily
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:2
13.08.2024
Ismaily
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:1
09.03.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ismaily
1:1
31.05.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ismaily
2:2
13.01.2023
Ismaily
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:3
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Latest results of Ismaily
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | ZED | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 31 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 22 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 18 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
