Ventura County vs Real Monarchs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Ventura County - Real Monarchs
Result
4:3 penalties
01/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Ventura County - Real Monarchs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.27
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Long passes
47% (23/49)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
64% (54/84)73% (94/128)
Crosses
28% (5/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.52
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1018
Tackles
69% (9/13)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
166
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.271.02
Goals prevented
-1.73-1.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Ramos R. ⚽, Miller H. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Dillon G. ⚽, Marquez O. (A),
  • 13', O'Gara L. 🟨,
  • 17', Charpie W. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Barea J. ⚽,
  • 43', Marquez O. ↓, Sandoval Molina B. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Musto T. ⚽, Muller L. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 3, Charpie W. ⚽,
  • 62', Henry K. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 3, Sullivan N. ⚽,
  • 76', Sandoval Molina B. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
  • 78', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
  • 89', Miller H. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Muller L. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Mesalles R. (Pen),
  • 1, Musto T. (Pen),
  • 2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
  • 2, Pepe (Pen),
  • 3, Anderson O. (Pen),
  • 3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 4, O'Gara L. (Pen),
  • 4, Vanney D. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),
  • 5, Ramos R. (Pen),
  • 6, Dillon G. (Pen),
  • 6, Miller H. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ventura County
41.9%		Draw
24.4%		Real Monarchs
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 23.9% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 23.8% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Ventura County - Real Monarchs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.22 ↑
    (2.07)    		 3.81 ↓
    (3.87)    		 2.76 ↓
    (2.93)    		 7.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Ventura County - Real Monarchs?
  • Users Predictions: Ventura County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ventura County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Real Monarchs were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2
    06.10.2024 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1
    25.08.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 3:1
    19.05.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 2:0
    Latest results of Ventura County
    18.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 0:2
    13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1
    09.05.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 2:1
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    27.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    28.05.2025 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 4:1
    18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    03.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    23.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 1:2 ✺
    10.04.2025 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Carolina Core14324519:1917
    6Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County15911429:2230
    2Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    4Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    5Town FC12521424:1420
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    3North Texas15621625:3023
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 213602522:1720
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Carolina Core14324519:1917
    12Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    13Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County15911429:2230
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4North Texas15621625:3023
    5Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    6Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    8Austin FC II14433413:1521
    9Minnesota 213602522:1720
    10Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    11Town FC12521424:1420
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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