Palmeiras vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
13/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
158
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Lele ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Taina Maranhao ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', Gislaine 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Lais Melo ,
  • 55', Espinales J. , Diany Martins ,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Amanda Gutierres ,
  • 61', Gislaine , Yasmin ,
  • 61', Palomar E. , Lurdinha ,
  • 65', Lais Melo , Soll ,
  • 65', Rhayanna , Isadora Amaral ,
  • 69', Chu Santos , Cacau ,
  • 69', Camila Oliveira , Paloma ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 71', Raquel , Carioca ,
  • 85', Ingryd Lima , Rincon Y. ,
  • 85', Taina Maranhao , Stefanie ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Stefanie ,
  • 90+1', Pati Maldaner 🟥,
  • 90+2', 4 - 2, Lurdinha ,
  • 90+3', Amanda Gutierres 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lele 🟨,
  • 90+5', Soll 🟨,

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
68.1%
Draw
19.7%
Fluminense
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 22.7% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 21.9% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palmeiras that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Palmeiras - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.78)
    4.65
    (4.35)
    7.47
    (4.5)
    9.4%
    (1.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • Palmeiras is Qualified for Brasileiro Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Palmeiras is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fluminense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Palmeiras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Fluminense were as follows:
    20.05.2024 Fluminense - Palmeiras 2:0
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    07.06.2025 Real Brasilia - Palmeiras 0:2
    04.06.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 3:2
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 0:1
    19.05.2025 Internacional - Palmeiras 2:2
    14.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ferroviária 1:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Brasileiro Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians W641117:71013
    2Palmeiras W641116:7913
    3Sao Paulo W64119:4513
    4Bahia W640212:9312
    5Flamengo W633011:6512
    6Cruzeiro W633011:6512
    7Fluminense W63217:5211
    8Santos W62319:729
    9Ferroviaria W62315:509
    10Internacional W62226:518
    11Gremio W62137:617
    12Bragantino W62139:12-37
    13Mixto W61325:8-36
    14Botafogo RJ W61237:10-35
    15Atletico-MG W61145:7-24
    16Juventude W61143:8-54
    17America Mineiro W60152:15-131
    18Vitoria W60154:18-141

          Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women