North Carolina vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC).

USL Championship
Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	2.00
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	23
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	6
Passes
81% (272/336)	86% (401/469)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	2.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.55	0.07
Total shots
11	23
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
6	11
Blocked Shots
4	9
Shots inside the Box
6	16
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	6
Touches in opposition box
16	36
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
18	12
Passes
81% (272/336)	86% (401/469)
Long passes
45% (25/55)	60% (44/73)
Passes in final third
68% (65/95)	65% (72/110)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	43% (10/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	1.70
Throw-ins
8	19
Fouls
12	18
Tackles
56% (5/9)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
41	49
Clearances
23	18
Interceptions
4	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.30	0.55
Goals prevented
0.30	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Conway E. ⚽, Al Qaq A. (A),
35', Garcia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gavilanes A. ↓, Naranjo A. ↑,
61', Veron D. ↓, Blanco S. ↑,
69', Conway E. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
71', Vazquez C. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
75', Perez L. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
75', Forbes J. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
76', Pedro Becker ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
78', Melano L. 🟨,
85', Tulu ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
85', Naranjo A. 🟨,
87', Sommersall R. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

North Carolina
47.3%

Draw
25.8%

Miami
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

22.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina's form might have worsened.

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Carolina - Miami Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.69)	3.63 ↓ (4.07)	3.49 ↓ (4.22)	6.6% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for North Carolina - Miami?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - North Carolina (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
North Carolina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Miami has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Miami?

North Carolina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against North Carolina?

Miami has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Miami were as follows:

19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1

06.07.2024 North Carolina - Miami 4:1

25.05.2024 Miami - North Carolina 0:4

Latest results of North Carolina

20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

12.09.2025 North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Lexington - North Carolina 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 North Carolina - Hartford Athletic 2:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - North Carolina 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Miami

19.09.2025 Miami - Rhode Island 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Miami 0:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Miami - Hartford Athletic 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Loudoun United - Miami 3:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 3:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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