Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

NKU Soccer Stadium (Highland Heights, KE).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.18	1.34
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
9	5
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
5	6
Passes
84% (294/349)	85% (421/495)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.18	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
3.64	0.85
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
9	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
16	9
Shots outside the box
2	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
35	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
7	17
Passes
84% (294/349)	85% (421/495)
Long passes
58% (26/45)	46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
67% (76/114)	72% (91/126)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.86
Throw ins
16	15
Fouls
17	7
Tackles
80% (16/20)	56% (14/25)
Duels won
36	65
Clearances
17	14
Interceptions
16	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	5
xGOT faced
0.85	3.64
Goals prevented
0.85	-1.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Sullivan M. 🟨,
21', Stampatori D. ↓, Campbell-Dennis R. ↑,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ⚽,
51', 2 - 0, Lachekar S. ⚽, Chavez A. (A),
57', Sphire C. 🟨,
60', 3 - 0, Chirila S. ⚽,
68', Chirila S. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
68', Sphire C. ↓, Mize J. ↑,
69', Boneau B. ↓, Sappleton S. ↑,
69', Dixon D. ↓, Blyth T. ↑,
69', Khodri E. ↓, Pinnock S. ↑,
69', Adamson D. ↓, Costabile L. ↑,
79', Holmes C. ↓, DeHart G. ↑,
79', Chavez A. ↓, Schlotterbeck R. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Sullivan M. ⚽, Vazquez M. (A),
83', Hurtado D. ↓, Lester D. ↑,
86', 5 - 0, Vazquez M. ⚽, Mize J. (A),
87', Barrow D. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Cincinnati 2
38.8%

Draw
27%

Toronto FC II
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

27.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati 2's form might have worsened.

Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto FC II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto FC II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.68 ↓ (3.1)	9% (11.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
Recent form of Cincinnati 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Toronto II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against Toronto FC II?

Cincinnati 2 has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against Cincinnati 2?

Toronto FC II has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II were as follows:

15.08.2025 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 1:0

08.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1

09.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:1

01.09.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:2

14.07.2024 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 1:2

Latest results of Cincinnati 2

19.04.2026 New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2 3:1 ✺

13.04.2026 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Columbus Crew 2 - Cincinnati 2 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 New England Revolution II - Cincinnati 2 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Philadelphia Union II - Cincinnati 2 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Toronto FC II

24.04.2026 Toronto FC II - New York City II 2:1 ✺

17.04.2026 Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II 1:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Toronto FC II - Crown Legacy 3:4 ✺

19.03.2026 New York City II - Toronto FC II 0:5 ✺

15.03.2026 Columbus Crew 2 - Toronto FC II 3:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	8	6	0	2	0	20:8	20
2	Columbus Crew 2	9	5	1	0	3	16:15	17
3	Philadelphia Union II	8	4	1	0	3	11:8	14
4	Toronto FC II	8	3	0	2	3	13:13	11
5	New England Revolution II	7	2	2	1	2	7:6	11
6	Connecticut FC	8	2	1	0	5	10:15	8
7	Cincinnati 2	7	2	0	0	5	9:11	6
8	New York City II	6	1	1	1	3	4:10	6

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	9	6	2	1	0	27:10	23
2	Atlanta United 2	8	5	0	1	2	14:9	16
3	Orlando City B	8	2	3	1	2	17:19	13
4	Huntsville	7	3	1	1	2	14:16	12
5	Chattanooga	8	3	0	1	4	13:14	10
6	Chicago Fire II	7	1	3	1	2	6:9	10
7	Carolina Core	8	0	1	3	4	10:16	5
8	Inter Miami II	8	0	1	2	5	9:21	4

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	9	3	2	1	3	14:13	14
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	7	4	0	1	2	14:7	13
3	Portland Timbers 2	7	3	1	2	1	8:8	13
4	Los Angeles FC 2	9	3	1	2	3	15:19	13
5	Real Monarchs	7	2	2	0	3	12:12	10
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	9	2	1	1	5	14:18	9
7	Tacoma Defiance	9	1	2	1	5	10:15	8

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	8	7	1	0	0	20:3	23
2	St. Louis City 2	9	6	2	1	0	20:8	23
3	Minnesota 2	8	4	1	0	3	9:9	14
4	Austin FC II	7	3	1	2	1	10:8	13
5	North Texas	9	2	2	1	4	13:14	11
6	Sporting Kansas City II	10	1	1	2	6	11:26	7
7	Colorado Rapids 2	8	0	0	3	5	9:19	3

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	9	6	2	1	0	27:10	23
2	New York Red Bulls II	8	6	0	2	0	20:8	20
3	Columbus Crew 2	9	5	1	0	3	16:15	17
4	Atlanta United 2	8	5	0	1	2	14:9	16
5	Philadelphia Union II	8	4	1	0	3	11:8	14
6	Orlando City B	8	2	3	1	2	17:19	13
7	Huntsville	7	3	1	1	2	14:16	12
8	Toronto FC II	8	3	0	2	3	13:13	11
9	New England Revolution II	7	2	2	1	2	7:6	11
10	Chattanooga	8	3	0	1	4	13:14	10
11	Chicago Fire II	7	1	3	1	2	6:9	10
12	Connecticut FC	8	2	1	0	5	10:15	8
13	Cincinnati 2	7	2	0	0	5	9:11	6
14	New York City II	6	1	1	1	3	4:10	6
15	Carolina Core	8	0	1	3	4	10:16	5
16	Inter Miami II	8	0	1	2	5	9:21	4

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	8	7	1	0	0	20:3	23
2	St. Louis City 2	9	6	2	1	0	20:8	23
3	Minnesota 2	8	4	1	0	3	9:9	14
4	Ventura County	9	3	2	1	3	14:13	14
5	San Jose Earthquakes II	7	4	0	1	2	14:7	13
6	Austin FC II	7	3	1	2	1	10:8	13
7	Portland Timbers 2	7	3	1	2	1	8:8	13
8	Los Angeles FC 2	9	3	1	2	3	15:19	13
9	North Texas	9	2	2	1	4	13:14	11
10	Real Monarchs	7	2	2	0	3	12:12	10
11	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	9	2	1	1	5	14:18	9
12	Tacoma Defiance	9	1	2	1	5	10:15	8
13	Sporting Kansas City II	10	1	1	2	6	11:26	7
14	Colorado Rapids 2	8	0	0	3	5	9:19	3

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)