Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (224/287) | 81% (278/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (224/287) | 81% (278/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (31/61) | 58% (40/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (40/83) | 59% (61/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
- 30', Taira A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Al Dossary M. 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 1, Sow S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Taira A. 🟨,
- 70', Al Jayzani F. 🟨,
- 75', Al Shaikh M. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
- 75', Shami A. ↓, Al Salouli S. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Muralha ⚽,
- 86', Abdulrazaq F. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
- 90', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
- 90', Al Jayzani F. ↓, Ibrahim Y. Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Al Mutairi M. ↓, Al Manhali S. ↑,
- 90+6', Al Oufi M. ↓, Al Mutairi B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Abha
47.8% | Draw
25.6% | Al Raed
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-1%)
Abha - Al Raed Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.96) |
3.53 ↓
(3.56) |
3.4 ↑
(3.32) |
10.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Abha - Al Raed?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Abha will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abha won 2.
- Abha has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al Raed is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Abha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Abha won against Al Raed?
Abha has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Abha?
Al Raed has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Abha - Al Raed were as follows:
29.12.2023
Al Raed
-
Abha
4:3
19.08.2023
Abha
-
Al Raed
1:0
10.02.2023
Al Raed
-
Abha
3:1
27.08.2022
Abha
-
Al Raed
2:1
Latest results of Al Raed
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 63:29 | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 74:33 | 41 | 69 |
| 3 | Al-Faisaly | 32 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 70:32 | 38 | 67 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:31 | 35 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Orubah ✔ | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54:38 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 57:43 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 42:39 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Bukiryah | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 50:56 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 48:49 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 41:70 | -29 | 27 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22:60 | -38 | 21 |
| 17 | Al Batin ✔ | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 35:64 | -29 | 19 |
| 18 | Al Jubail ✔ | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 28:69 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Al Batin is Relegated to
Al Jubail is Relegated to
