Result
2:2
05/04/2026 at 22:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (536/588) | 69% (180/262) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.86 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (536/588) | 69% (180/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 28% (19/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (209/241) | 55% (41/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/40) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 3.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Antuna U. ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 25', Alvarado R. 🟨,
- 41', Vite P. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Castillo J. (Own goal),
- 42', Romo L. 🟨,
- 42', Nathan Silva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Castillo J. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 46', Aguirre D. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 54', Carrillo J. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
- 54', Juninho ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
- 63', Navas K. 🟨,
- 65', Ledezma R. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Campillo Del Campo D. (A),
- 75', Vite P. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
- 75', Antuna U. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
- 78', Alvarez E. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 85', Morales R. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 90+4', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
- 90+11', Duarte R. 🟨,
- 90+12', 2 - 2, Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+12', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
62.3% | Draw
20.9% | UNAM
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.48) |
4.47 ↑
(4.22) |
5.54 ↓
(5.85) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.25 - UNAM (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3.
- Guadalajara is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- UNAM has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Govea O.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in UNAM: Macias J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- We predict that Guadalajara will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against UNAM?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Chivas Guadalajara?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM were as follows:
05.10.2025
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:2
01.03.2025
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
02.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
0:0
24.02.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
3:1
03.12.2023
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
