Result
3:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (274/361) | 65% (181/279) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (274/361) | 65% (181/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 25% (16/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (60/102) | 51% (49/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Smekal D. ⚽, Hlavaty M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Botos G. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 46', Hlavaty M. ↓, Misek S. ↑,
- 46', Branecky L. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 60', Bartosak L. ↓, Pesek J. ↑,
- 63', Godwin E. ↓, Saarma R. ↑,
- 70', Smekal D. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Poznar T. ⚽, Ulbrich T. (A),
- 73', Poznar T. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
- 77', Nombil C. ↓, Kolar J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Misek S. ⚽,
- 78', Ulbrich T. 🟨,
- 83', Cupak M. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
- 83', Machalik D. ↓, Hellebrand T. ↑,
- 86', Mahuta R. ↓, Boledovic T. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Tanko A. ⚽, Noslin J. (A),
- 90', Patrak V. ↓, Krobot L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pardubice
46.4% | Draw
28.6% | Zlín
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Pardubice - Zlín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.97) |
3.27 ↓
(3.33) |
3.77 ↑
(3.6) |
7.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pardubice - Zlín?
Users Predictions:
Pardubice will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- Pardubice is Qualified for Chance Liga (7th~10th places )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Zlín has had a series of home games.
- Pardubice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pardubice: Simek S.
(Ankle Injury)
Tredl J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Zlín: Jugas J.
(Knee Injury)
Petruta S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Pardubice: Patrak V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Zlín?
Pardubice has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Pardubice?
Zlín has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pardubice - Zlín were as follows:
25.10.2025
Zlín
-
Pardubice
2:2
04.05.2024
Pardubice
-
Zlín
2:0
14.04.2024
Zlín
-
Pardubice
1:1
04.11.2023
Pardubice
-
Zlín
0:1
21.05.2023
Pardubice
-
Zlín
1:2
Latest results of Pardubice
Draw
7th-10th placesSemi-finals| 1 | Sigma Olomouc (7) | Bohemians (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | FK Pardubice (8) | Karvina (9) | 2 : 1 |
