Udinese vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 38
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly216 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.97
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1225
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
78% (236/303)89% (489/549)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.342.84
Total shots
1225
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
711
Shots inside the Box
820
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
615
Passes
78% (236/303)89% (489/549)
Long passes
44% (23/52)58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
58% (45/77)83% (138/167)
Crosses
46% (6/13)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.45
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
156
Tackles
55% (6/11)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3853
Clearances
3717
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.841.34
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Bijol J. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Lucca L. , Solet O. (A),
  • 39', Bijol J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Fagioli N. ,
  • 50', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 52', Sanchez A. , Zarraga O. ,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Comuzzo P. , Richardson A. (A),
  • 59', Richardson A. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 2, Kabasele C. ,
  • 71', Richardson A. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 77', Atta A. , Bravo I. ,
  • 77', Lucca L. , Davis K. ,
  • 79', Comuzzo P. , Pongracic M. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Kean M. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 85', Beltran L. , Ndour C. ,
  • 86', Ehizibue K. , Palma M. ,
  • 89', Karlstrom J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Udinese
30.5%
Draw
28.1%
Fiorentina
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24.2% 57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 23.9% 58.3%

Udinese - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.17
(5.31)
3.39
(4.02)
2.31
(1.69)
4.4%
(2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Udinese - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 32.1%67.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Kamara H. (Injury) Kristensen T. (Yellow Cards) Lovric S. (Yellow Cards) Payero M. (Muscle Injury) Thauvin F. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury) Comuzzo P. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Fiorentina were as follows:
    23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2
    14.01.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:2
    24.09.2023 Udinese - Fiorentina 0:2
    14.05.2023 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:0
    31.08.2022 Udinese - Fiorentina 1:0
    Latest results of Udinese
    18.05.2025 Juventus - Udinese 2:0
    11.05.2025 Udinese - Monza 1:2
    03.05.2025 Cagliari - Udinese 1:2
    28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0
    23.04.2025 Torino - Udinese 2:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    18.05.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 3:2
    12.05.2025 Venezia - Fiorentina 2:1
    08.05.2025 Fiorentina - Betis 2:2
    04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0
    01.05.2025 Betis - Fiorentina 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma1290315:6927
    2AC Milan1274118:9925
    3Napoli1281319:11825
    4Inter1280426:131324
    5Bologna1273221:81324
    6Como1366119:71224
    7Juventus1365217:12523
    8Lazio1253415:9618
    9Udinese1353514:20-618
    10Sassuolo1352616:16017
    11Cremonese1235413:16-314
    12Torino1235411:21-1014
    13Atalanta1227314:14013
    14Cagliari1325613:19-611
    15Genoa1325613:20-711
    16Parma132569:17-811
    17Pisa1217410:16-610
    18Lecce122468:16-810
    19Fiorentina1206610:19-96
    20Verona130678:20-126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B