Udinese vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Udinese - Fiorentina
Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 38
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly216 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.97
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1225
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
78% (236/303)89% (489/549)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.342.84
Total shots
1225
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
711
Shots inside the Box
820
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
615
Passes
78% (236/303)89% (489/549)
Long passes
44% (23/52)58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
58% (45/77)83% (138/167)
Crosses
46% (6/13)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.45
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
156
Tackles
55% (6/11)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3853
Clearances
3717
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.841.34
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Bijol J. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Lucca L. ⚽, Solet O. (A),
  • 39', Bijol J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Fagioli N. ⚽,
  • 50', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 52', Sanchez A. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Comuzzo P. ⚽, Richardson A. (A),
  • 59', Richardson A. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 2, Kabasele C. ⚽,
  • 71', Richardson A. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
  • 77', Atta A. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
  • 77', Lucca L. ↓, Davis K. ↑,
  • 79', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Kean M. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
  • 85', Beltran L. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
  • 86', Ehizibue K. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
  • 89', Karlstrom J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Udinese
30.5%		Draw
28.1%		Fiorentina
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24.2% 57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 23.9% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Udinese's performance.
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Udinese - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.17 ↓
    (5.31)    		 3.39 ↓
    (4.02)    		 2.31 ↑
    (1.69)    		 4.4%
    (2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Udinese - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 32.1% – 67.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Kamara H. (Injury) Kristensen T. (Yellow Cards) Lovric S. (Yellow Cards) Payero M. (Muscle Injury) Thauvin F. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury) Comuzzo P. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Fiorentina were as follows:
    23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2
    14.01.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:2
    24.09.2023 Udinese - Fiorentina 0:2
    14.05.2023 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:0
    31.08.2022 Udinese - Fiorentina 1:0
    Latest results of Udinese
    18.05.2025 Juventus - Udinese 2:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Udinese - Monza 1:2 ✺
    03.05.2025 Cagliari - Udinese 1:2 ✺
    28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Torino - Udinese 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    18.05.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 3:2 ✺
    12.05.2025 Venezia - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    08.05.2025 Fiorentina - Betis 2:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    01.05.2025 Betis - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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