Fiorentina vs Udinese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
21/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 16
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1, Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.120.65
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
90% (531/589)82% (272/333)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.120.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.020.61
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
31
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2918
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
810
Passes
90% (531/589)82% (272/333)
Long passes
50% (19/38)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
86% (133/155)68% (60/88)
Crosses
23% (3/13)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.43
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
108
Tackles
40% (4/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3744
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.613.02
Goals prevented
-0.39-1.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', Okoye M. 🟥,
  • 10', Kabasele C. , Sava R. ,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. , Fagioli N. (A),
  • 39', Zanoli A. 🟨,
  • 40', Parisi F. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. , Parisi F. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 0, Ndour C. , Fagioli N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Zaniolo N. , Lovric S. ,
  • 46', Zanoli A. , Kamara H. ,
  • 53', Mandragora R. , Fortini N. ,
  • 56', 4 - 0, Kean M. ,
  • 65', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 65', Davis K. , Buksa A. ,
  • 66', Ekkelenkamp J. , Gueye I. ,
  • 66', 4 - 1, Solet O. , Piotrowski J. (A),
  • 68', 5 - 1, Kean M. , Dodo (A),
  • 71', Parisi F. , Kouame C. ,
  • 71', Kean M. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 82', Comuzzo P. , Viti M. ,
  • 82', Fagioli N. , Nicolussi Caviglia H. ,
  • 85', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
44.1%
Draw
29.6%
Udinese
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 26.4% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 23.8% 27.9%

Fiorentina - Udinese Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(1.96)
3.21
(3.6)
3.61
(3.79)
4.9%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Udinese?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 44 - 68.8%). Udinese will win (votes: 10 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57.4%80.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.07) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Udinese (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Udinese (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (21 of 28 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 32 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Udinese (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
    • Fiorentina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Udinese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fiorentina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Udinese: Atta A. (Thigh Injury) Bayo V. (International duty) Modesto R. (International duty) Zemura J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Udinese: Kamara H. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Udinese were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Udinese - Fiorentina 2:3
    23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2
    14.01.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:2
    24.09.2023 Udinese - Fiorentina 0:2
    14.05.2023 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2
    11.12.2025 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1
    06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1
    30.11.2025 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:0
    Latest results of Udinese
    14.12.2025 Udinese - Napoli 1:0
    08.12.2025 Udinese - Genoa 1:2
    02.12.2025 Juventus - Udinese 2:0
    29.11.2025 Parma - Udinese 0:2
    22.11.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:3
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter23181452:193355
    2AC Milan22138135:171847
    3Napoli23144533:211246
    4Juventus23136439:182145
    5AS Roma23141827:141343
    6Como23118437:162141
    7Atalanta2399530:201036
    8Lazio2388724:21332
    9Udinese2395926:34-832
    10Bologna2286832:27530
    11Sassuolo23851027:29-229
    12Cagliari2377928:31-328
    13Torino23751122:40-1826
    14Genoa23581027:34-723
    15Cremonese23581020:31-1123
    16Parma23581015:30-1523
    17Lecce23461313:30-1718
    18Fiorentina23381225:36-1117
    19Pisa231111119:40-2114
    20Verona23281318:41-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B